VDP Associates opinion poll gives BJP clear majority in Uttar Pradesh

An opinion poll carried out by VDP Associates has projected a clear majority for the BJP in the Uttar Pradesh Assembly election, with the ruling Samajwadi Party in second place. The survey was conducted in January, roughly fifteen days before voting was due to begin.

Projected seats and vote share

According to the poll, the BJP would win 207 of the state’s 403 seats on a vote share of 33.80%, enough to form a government on its own. The other projections were:

• Samajwadi Party: 104 seats, with 24.16% of the vote
• Bahujan Samaj Party (led by Mayawati): 58 seats, with 22.11% of the vote
• Congress: 24 seats, with 7.84% of the vote

The pollsters also concluded that the alliance between the Congress and the Samajwadi Party was unlikely to win over voters, particularly first-time voters.

How the poll was conducted

VDP Associates said the survey covered 87 constituencies across 41 districts, with a sample of 10,000 people.

What happened next

In the actual 2017 Uttar Pradesh Assembly election, the BJP won 312 seats, the Samajwadi Party 47 and the BSP 19. Yogi Adityanath became Chief Minister after the result.

See also: Bharatiya Janata Party, Samajwadi Party and Elections

Originally published on 31 January 2017. Rewritten on 9 October 2026.

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